The Department of Economics invites you to a Faculty seminar with David Seim, University of Stockholm.
If you have any queries regarding the seminar, please contact the seminar organizers Katrine V. Løken, Heidi C. Thysen, Eirik G. Kristiansen or Camilla Nesfossen Hopsdal.
We study the role of employment protection legislation (EPL) in boosting employment among older workers. We do so by conducting a comprehensive analysis of the sharp and complete elimination of EPL that occurs at age 67 in Sweden, as well as reformdriven shifts in this age cutoff. First, focusing on direct separation effects, we find that 8% of jobs separate in response to the elimination of EPL. Effects stem from jobs with stronger initial EPL (long-tenure, firms subject to “last in, first out” rules), and those in the public sector. Separations appear involuntary to workers, with firms targeting plausibly unproductive workers (sick leave users). Second, we focus on effects on continuing jobs. While wages appear rigid to EPL elimination, we uncover novel, sizable intensivemargin hours reductions among continuing jobs, and an 8% drop in earnings conditional on staying on the job. Third, we estimate total equilibrium effects at the cohort level, where separations fully pass through into employment to population rate effects, with no offsetting effectfromhiring. Onaper-capitabasis, totalearningsofolderworkerscausally drop by 21.5% due to EPL elimination. We validate these local effects by leveraging a reform-driven shift in the age cutoff from 67 to 68. EPL is therefore a potential tool to prop uplabor income amongolder workers, by prolonging the duration of their final job.